The Reserve Bank of Australia has made no change to the official cash rate, keeping it on hold at 2 per cent for the month of December.
The RBA's decision is in line with the expectations of the market, with QIC chief economist Matthew Peter indicating that the central bank will now "sit and wait" for global and domestic developments.
"A February rate cut is still an option if global conditions deteriorate – especially if the Fed delays 'lift off'," Mr Peter said.
The ANU Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA) RBA Shadow Board ascribed a 67 per cent probability to 2 per cent being the "appropriate policy setting".
"Headline inflation, at 1.5 per cent (year-on-year) below the RBA’s target band of 2-3 per cent, remains well contained and GDP growth, at 2 per cent annualised, soft," said a statement by the Shadow Board.
"The CAMA RBA Shadow Board on balance prefers to keep the cash rate on hold, attaching a 67 per cent probability to this being the appropriate policy setting.
"The confidence attached to a required rate cut equals 22 per cent, down four percentage points from the previous month, while the confidence in a required rate hike has risen slightly to 11 per cent," the statement said.
Comments powered by CComment
The AIOFP is disappointed by the first tranche of the government’s QAR-related legislation and has called on Canberra to ...
Clients do not always start their journey with holistic advice from the outset, and super funds providing basic advice ...
The advice group has expanded its operations interstate with two acquisitions in Adelaide and one in Port Macquarie
Never miss the stories that impact the industry.
Get the latest news! Subscribe to the ifa bulletin