In an ASX announcement on Tuesday morning, Insignia Financial provided an update on the at-one-time bidding war to take over the firm, which largely amounts to private equity firm CC Capital standing pat while it continues to work through the specifics.
“CC Capital has informed Insignia Financial that it continues to actively work towards making a binding bid for the company,” Insignia said.
“Specifically, CC Capital is finalising financing and investment committee approvals, a process that is expected to be completed in the next two weeks.
“There is no certainty that the ongoing discussions will result in any transaction being put to Insignia Financial shareholders for their consideration.”
The two-week projection for CC Capital to make a decision is slightly more concrete than the vague “coming weeks” that accompanied Insignia’s previous update, even if the time frame keeps increasing.
In mid-May, the private equity bidder that kicked off the takeover process – Bain Capital – told Insignia it was no longer interested due to “the macro uncertainty caused by the volatility in global capital markets”.
During the due diligence process, which had been extended by a month from the original deadline, Insignia was also hit by a cyber attack that affected a small number of superannuation members on its Expand platform.
The bidding war for control of Insignia has been ongoing since December, when Bain made its first offer to acquire the company for $4 per share; however, the board decided this figure was not sufficient.
Since then, Bain and CC Capital have provided bids of $4.30, $4.60, and the latest offers of $5 per share.
Following the withdrawal, Morningstar analyst Shaun Ler said there was an “equal probability” that the remaining Insignia takeover bid would succeed or fail, while also knocking down the “fair value” estimate of the firm’s share price.
“We believe it’s too early to conclude that CC Capital will also withdraw, though the risk has increased. Market volatility – cited by Bain – has moderated in recent weeks. Constructive talks between the US and China to roll back tariffs have improved investor sentiment,” Ler said at the time.
“While we can’t rule it out, we think it’s less likely that Bain exited due to it identifying a fatal flaw in Insignia. We see the firm’s fundamentals improving, with better profitability from cost reductions, moderating net outflows and compounding of client flows.”
As a result, Morningstar had lowered Insignia’s fair value estimate from $5.00 in April to $4.45 and said the firm should see slower fee compression, steadier fund flows, and scalable cost reductions going forward.
